The SALT tax reform has stalled, and Trump's pressure has yielded no results.

Former President Trump is actively pushing a tax reform bill, aiming for a legislative breakthrough before Memorial Day weekend, but deep divisions within the party are posing significant challenges. Despite full cooperation from House Speaker Mike Johnson, Republican lawmakers from blue states and conservative members remain firmly opposed to the bill's contents, with the SALT (State and Local Tax) deduction cap being a major point of contention.

Blue State GOP Insists on Raising SALT Cap
The current bill proposes raising the SALT deduction cap from the existing $10,000 to $30,000, which, although considered a concession by some legislators, is still deemed insufficient by Republican lawmakers from high-tax states like New York, New Jersey, and California. They argue that the proposal fails to adequately address the real needs of middle-class voters.

According to media reports, Trump personally visited Capitol Hill on May 20 to try and persuade the "recalcitrant" lawmakers to accept the current compromise version. However, the effort had limited success, as members of the "SALT Caucus," including New York Republican Congressman Nick LaLota, have indicated they will vote against it. He stated, "My middle-class constituents should not be left out."

Subsequently, the Republican leadership proposed a further compromise—temporarily raising the SALT cap to $40,000 but only for those earning less than $751,600 annually, with a four-year validity period. Even so, five key lawmakers still refuse to compromise, leaving the bill's future uncertain.

Trump Publicly Pressures, Criticizes Stubborn Lawmakers

In a closed-door meeting, Trump directly pressured dissenters. He told New York Representative Mike Lawler, "I know your district better than you do. If you lose because of SALT, then you were destined to lose." He urged lawmakers to pass the tax reform bill first and seek subsequent adjustments, but this statement only heightened some legislators' concerns. They fear that if the opportunity is missed this time, it will be challenging to push for SALT cap reform in the future.

Conservatives Insist on Larger Budget Cuts

Apart from the SALT division, conservative Republicans are also exerting pressure on the bill. They demand deeper federal program cuts, especially in the areas of Medicaid and nutritional support. Chair of the House Freedom Caucus, Maryland Representative Andy Harris, stated bluntly, "We are doing far from enough on Medicaid."

Despite the bill including provisions to impose work requirements on able-bodied adults and increase co-payments for certain medical services, conservatives still view these reforms as too weak. They demand further government spending cuts as a prerequisite for supporting the tax reform bill.

Uncertain Future, House May Proceed with Vote as Scheduled

Despite the dual resistance facing the bill's progress, House Speaker Johnson remains optimistic. He emphasized, "We will reach an agreement on everything the bill needs," and plans to initiate a formal vote by the week's end.

This deadlock highlights the deep divisions within the Republican Party on tax and spending issues and shows that while Trump has influence within the party, he still faces complex negotiations in advancing legislation. If the SALT dispute and budget cut differences cannot be reconciled, the tax reform bill, which Trump regards as a "key achievement," may be delayed or forced to start over.

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