Zelensky visits the UK, securing a £2.2 billion defense deal.

Zelensky Visits UK, Reaches Defense Loan Agreement

Ukrainian President Zelensky arrived in the UK on March 1, warmly welcomed by British Prime Minister Starmer. This visit followed a heated dispute with US President Trump at the White House, where the expected agreements were not reached. The UK not only expressed firm support for Ukraine but also signed a £2.26 billion loan agreement to help Kyiv strengthen its defense capabilities. The loan will be repaid with proceeds from frozen Russian assets, with part of the funds allocated for weapon production.

Starmer welcomed Zelensky at 10 Downing Street, stating, "The UK stands firmly with Ukraine." Zelensky thanked the UK for its support since the war began, calling it one of Ukraine's most reliable partners.

On the social platform "Telegram," Zelensky shared that he and Starmer discussed the challenges faced by Ukraine, the European security situation, and how Ukraine can garner more international support. He emphasized that Ukraine's ultimate goal is to end the war justly and establish a long-term security framework.

US-Ukraine Relations Deteriorate, Trump May Halt Aid

Zelensky's UK visit coincides with heightened tensions in US-Ukraine relations. On February 28, Zelensky visited the White House and met with Trump and Vice President Vance. A heated argument over the Russia-Ukraine war occurred, and the planned US-Ukraine minerals agreement was not reached. The US canceled a scheduled joint press conference, and Zelensky departed the White House early.

According to The Washington Post, the US government is considering terminating military aid to Ukraine. Trump was dissatisfied with Zelensky's insistence on security assurances during discussions, believing Ukraine "has not shown enough willingness for peace." Afterward, Trump stated on social media, "President Zelensky is not ready for negotiations; come back to us when you are."

Within the US Republican party, attitudes toward Ukraine are shifting, with some lawmakers advocating for reduced aid. South Carolina Senator Graham suggested that if Ukraine cannot make battlefield progress, “perhaps a leader more capable of negotiation should be considered.”

European Nations Meet to Discuss Ukraine's Future

Amid worsening US-Ukraine relations, the UK convened leaders and senior officials from France, Germany, Italy, Canada, Turkey, and others in London on March 2 to discuss increasing support for Ukraine and planning future security guarantees.

The British newspaper The Sunday Telegraph reported that Starmer aims to act as a "bridge" between the US and Europe, encouraging coordinated action to ensure support for Ukraine is not disrupted by deteriorating US-Ukraine relations. Italian Prime Minister Meloni warned that Western unity is crucial, or Ukraine’s conflict may see increased uncertainty. Polish Prime Minister Tusk emphasized Poland's commitment to lobbing US aid for Ukraine, stressing that "Ukraine's fate concerns all of Europe's security."

Furthermore, French President Macron stated in a media interview that any "retreat" by the US on Ukraine would impact European security. He did not rule out future dialogues with Russian President Putin, but only under “appropriate conditions.”

Europe's Limited Capacity to Aid Ukraine, Internal Divisions

Although European countries have shown support for Ukraine, their ability to independently uphold Ukraine is still uncertain. European Commission President von der Leyen and European Council President Costa issued a joint statement, pledging not to let Ukraine fight alone and to seek a just peace with Ukraine. However, some European nations are cautious about continued aid to Ukraine.

Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán recently wrote to the European Council President, urging the EU to engage in direct talks with Russia to push for ceasefire negotiations. Meanwhile, Slovak Prime Minister Fico stated the country will not continue to provide military or financial aid to Ukraine and criticized the West's "force for peace" strategy.

The UK’s The Observer analyzed that if the US scales back its assistance to Ukraine, Europe must fill that gap, but the process will be extremely challenging. The Financial Times quoted a European diplomat saying, “Now Europe can only rely on itself.” Yet, many European nations face financial difficulties, and their defense manufacturing capacity is insufficient to quickly offset the loss of US aid.

Conclusion: Ukraine Faces Critical Decision, US-Europe Discrepancies May Affect War's Course

After a disagreement in the White House, Zelensky swiftly visited the UK, receiving firm support from Starmer and securing a £2 billion loan to boost Ukraine's defense. However, the deterioration of US-Ukraine relations makes Ukraine's future uncertain. If the US reduces or ends aid, whether European nations can independently support Ukraine becomes vital.

Ukraine's future hinges on international political developments. European leaders are striving for unity, but internal conflicts persist. If US-Europe coordination on Ukraine falters, the war's trajectory might significantly change. How the US and Europe handle this crisis in the coming weeks will directly impact Ukraine's strategic outlook.

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