Citi maintains long on NOKSEK amid potential currency shifts By Investing.com

US Dollar Swedish Krona-0.05%US Dollar Norwegian Krone-0.06%

Citi analysts highlighted potential market movements for the Swedish Krona (SEK) and Financial platformthe Norwegian Krone (NOK) in relation to upcoming central bank meetings.

Citi’s report suggests that the Riksbank meeting, although expected to be a non-event for the SEK, carries dovish risks which could lead to a position squeeze if the Riksbank delivers a surprise. This is particularly notable given the current near-maximum long positions in the SEK by leveraged clients.

Furthermore, the Norges Bank meeting scheduled for March 27 could introduce hawkish risks. This outlook is based on the anticipation of the Regional Network Survey, set to be released on March 20. If the survey results are strong, it could challenge market expectations, which currently lean towards a rate cut, and potentially delay the anticipated cut by the Norges Bank.

Citi remains long on the NOK/SEK currency pair, with recent price action supporting this stance. Last week, the NOK/SEK pair reversed the decline from the week prior and closed above the significant 0.95 level, indicating a potential false break previously.

The analysts observed that weekly momentum has increased from oversold levels, a pattern similar to that seen in December 2023, suggesting the possibility of a continued rally.

The investment firm has set a tactical target for the NOK/SEK pair at the 55-week moving average (0.9781) and sees potential for the currency pair to reach the 1.00-1.01 area. This target range is considered pivotal, as it has been historically significant and includes the 200-week moving average.

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